| NAME | POS | GP | MIN | WP48 | PoP48 | WINS | PTS | REB | AST | TO | BLK | STL | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeSagana Diop | C | 39 | 306 | -.063 | -5.0 | -0.40 | 6.3 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 8.3 |
| Drew Gooden | PF | 82 | 2523 | .175 | 2.4 | 9.18 | 22.5 | 14.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4.4 |
| Lucious Harris | SG | 73 | 1128 | .068 | -1.0 | 1.59 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.9 |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | C | 78 | 2615 | .091 | -0.2 | 4.96 | 24.2 | 12.3 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.7 |
| Luke Jackson | SF | 10 | 43 | -.104 | -6.3 | -0.09 | 32.4 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| LeBron James | SF | 80 | 3388 | .238 | 4.3 | 16.82 | 30.8 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Jeff McInnis | PG | 76 | 2651 | .022 | -2.4 | 1.23 | 17.7 | 2.8 | 7.1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| Jerome Moiso | PF | 4 | 27 | .257 | 4.9 | 0.14 | 10.7 | 12.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 7.1 |
| Ira Newble | SG | 74 | 1832 | .092 | -0.2 | 3.52 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3.8 |
| Sasha Pavlovic | SG | 65 | 862 | -.019 | -3.7 | -0.35 | 17.5 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 6.7 |
| Eric Snow | PG | 81 | 1844 | .075 | -0.7 | 2.89 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 4.9 |
| Robert Traylor | C | 74 | 1327 | .006 | -2.9 | 0.16 | 14.8 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 7.8 |
| Anderson Varejao | PF | 54 | 863 | .254 | 4.8 | 4.57 | 14.8 | 14.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 6.8 |
| Dajuan Wagner | PG | 11 | 102 | -.372 | -14.7 | -0.79 | 20.7 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 7.1 |
| Jiri Welsch | SF | 16 | 192 | -.116 | -6.7 | -0.46 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.0 |
| Scott Williams | C | 19 | 152 | -.125 | -7.0 | -0.39 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 9.5 |
| Name | FG% | 2FG% | 3FG% | FT% | eFG% | TS% | FGA | 3FGA | FTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeSagana Diop | 29.0% | 29.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.0% | 28.1% | 10.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Drew Gooden | 49.2% | 50.2% | 17.9% | 81.0% | 49.5% | 54.8% | 17.9 | 0.5 | 5.9 |
| Lucious Harris | 39.5% | 41.5% | 32.3% | 81.2% | 43.0% | 47.5% | 12.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 46.8% | 46.9% | 28.6% | 79.9% | 46.9% | 55.0% | 18.0 | 0.1 | 9.2 |
| Luke Jackson | 37.0% | 28.6% | 66.7% | 83.3% | 44.4% | 48.9% | 30.1 | 6.7 | 6.7 |
| LeBron James | 47.2% | 49.9% | 35.1% | 75.0% | 50.4% | 55.4% | 23.9 | 4.4 | 9.0 |
| Jeff McInnis | 41.2% | 43.9% | 34.5% | 81.2% | 46.2% | 49.5% | 16.6 | 4.8 | 2.9 |
| Jerome Moiso | 60.0% | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ira Newble | 42.9% | 43.9% | 35.8% | 79.7% | 45.2% | 48.2% | 11.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 43.5% | 45.5% | 38.5% | 68.8% | 48.9% | 51.6% | 15.4 | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| Eric Snow | 38.2% | 39.7% | 28.9% | 73.8% | 40.2% | 44.5% | 8.5 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Robert Traylor | 44.4% | 45.3% | 0.0% | 53.9% | 44.4% | 46.1% | 14.4 | 0.3 | 3.7 |
| Anderson Varejao | 51.3% | 51.8% | 0.0% | 53.5% | 51.3% | 53.4% | 10.7 | 0.1 | 7.1 |
| Dajuan Wagner | 32.7% | 44.8% | 19.2% | 75.0% | 37.3% | 38.8% | 25.9 | 12.2 | 1.9 |
| Jiri Welsch | 23.5% | 25.0% | 18.2% | 71.4% | 25.5% | 36.3% | 12.8 | 2.8 | 7.0 |
| Scott Williams | 29.3% | 30.0% | 0.0% | 81.8% | 29.3% | 36.0% | 12.9 | 0.3 | 3.5 |
| WP48 | WINS | PTS | DRB | ORB | TRB | AST | TO | BLK | STL | PF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0.207 | 42.6 | 96.5 | 28.7 | 13.6 | 42.3 | 22.6 | 13.9 | 5.6 | 8.0 | 22.6 |
| AVG | 0.500 | 41.0 | 97.2 | 29.8 | 12.0 | 41.9 | 21.3 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 22.6 |
| OPP | 0.793 | 39.4 | 95.7 | 28.3 | 11.4 | 39.8 | 21.2 | 14.8 | 5.1 | 6.7 | 21.6 |
| AVGOPP | 0.500 | 41.0 | 97.2 | 29.8 | 12.0 | 41.9 | 21.3 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 22.6 |
| FG% | 2FG% | 3FG% | FT% | eFG% | TS% | FGA | 3FGA | FTA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 44.7% | 46.5% | 33.2% | 75.2% | 47.0% | 51.8% | 81.5 | 11.0 | 26.5 | ||
| AVG | 44.7% | 47.0% | 35.6% | 75.6% | 48.2% | 52.9% | 80.3 | 15.8 | 26.1 | ||
| Expected* | Actual | Forecast** |
|---|---|---|
| 42.6-39.4 | 42-40 | n/a |
* The win-loss record that wins produced would have predicted based on players' WP48 so far (ignores previous seasons).
** future games only -- takes current record as given
The mainstream media baffles me. Like, for example, the obsession with triple doubles. Anderson Varajao didn't get one last night, so I guess his performance was only worth a quick mention. I mean, 23 rebounds, 9 assists, 9 points, 2 blocks in 37 minutes...that's not noteworthy or antyhing, right?
I'm calling them guesses, not predictions, because this way if I'm completely wrong, I won't look as stupid.
The one time of the year when everyone seems to enjoy giving out grades is after the NBA Draft. More than any other sport, fans seem to place faith (or, in the case of some GMs, at least hope) that the draft can change their team's fortunes. I suppose this is because is because basketball is played with 5 players, so any player influences (approximately) 20% of your team's production at any given time on the court, while baseball fields 9 (10 if you count the DH) and football 11. And of course, football and baseball rosters are much bigger, and they draft more players, so a far smaller percentage of drafted players actually make the roster. In the NBA, in contrast, the 1st round picks have guaranteed contracts, and as the book Stumbling on Wins points out, playing time is highly correlated to draft position and salary. In other words, once owners and managers shell out a lot of money for a prospect, they are reluctant to give up on that prospect.
