NAME POS GP MIN WP48 PoP48 WINS PTS REB AST TO BLK STL PF
Lance Allred C 3 10 -.483 -18.1 -0.10 14.4 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
Devin Brown SG 78 1762 .073 -0.8 2.66 16.0 7.2 4.8 2.7 0.2 1.4 3.9
Shannon Brown SG 15 218 -.206 -9.5 -0.94 23.1 4.0 3.7 4.2 0.2 2.2 5.9
Kaniel Dickens SF 5 12 -.061 -5.0 -0.02 8.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 4.0
Daniel Gibson PG 58 1765 .084 -0.5 3.09 16.5 3.6 3.9 2.1 0.4 1.3 4.4
Drew Gooden PF 51 1564 -.006 -3.3 -0.18 17.6 13.0 1.5 2.8 0.9 1.1 4.4
Larry Hughes PG 40 1210 -.005 -3.2 -0.12 19.5 5.7 3.7 2.9 0.4 2.4 3.6
Zydrunas Ilgauskas C 73 2222 .102 0.1 4.72 22.2 14.7 2.2 2.9 2.6 0.7 5.3
LeBron James SF 75 3027 .283 5.7 17.82 35.7 9.4 8.5 4.0 1.3 2.2 2.6
Dwayne Jones C 56 472 .155 1.8 1.53 7.9 14.2 1.0 1.7 2.5 1.0 8.9
Damon Jones SG 67 1336 .100 0.0 2.79 15.7 2.6 4.5 1.3 0.0 0.7 2.4
Donyell Marshall PF 11 156 .006 -2.9 0.02 12.6 9.2 1.5 1.8 2.8 0.6 4.9
Ira Newble SF 41 650 .075 -0.7 1.02 13.1 8.4 1.0 2.3 0.5 2.0 4.7
Demetris Nichols SF 3 14 -.994 -34.0 -0.29 6.9 3.4 0.0 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sasha Pavlovic SF 51 1188 -.082 -5.6 -2.03 15.3 5.2 3.3 2.2 0.2 1.2 4.7
Cedric Simmons PF 7 68 .012 -2.7 0.02 2.8 10.6 0.0 2.8 3.5 1.4 4.9
Joe Smith PF 27 580 .108 0.3 1.30 18.1 11.3 1.6 1.8 1.3 0.7 6.0
Eric Snow PG 22 305 -.031 -4.0 -0.19 3.5 3.1 6.6 1.6 0.6 1.6 4.7
Wally Szczerbiak SG 25 556 -.050 -4.6 -0.57 17.7 7.0 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.8 3.1
Billy Thomas SG 7 34 -.296 -12.3 -0.21 16.9 2.8 0.0 4.2 0.0 1.4 5.6
Anderson Varejao C 48 1320 .105 0.2 2.88 11.7 14.5 1.9 2.1 0.9 1.3 4.9
Ben Wallace C 22 578 .194 3.0 2.34 7.7 13.5 1.1 1.5 3.1 1.6 2.9
Delonte West PG 26 806 .163 2.0 2.74 16.0 5.8 6.9 3.0 1.1 1.7 3.5
Name FG% 2FG% 3FG% FT% eFG% TS% FGA 3FGA FTA
Lance Allred 25.0% 25.0% 0.0% 50.0% 25.0% 30.7% 19.2 0.0 9.6
Devin Brown 40.9% 44.7% 30.8% 75.4% 45.1% 49.4% 14.5 4.0 3.9
Shannon Brown 36.9% 39.0% 31.0% 60.9% 41.0% 43.3% 24.4 6.4 5.1
Kaniel Dickens 33.3% 33.3% 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 33.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0
Daniel Gibson 43.2% 42.1% 44.0% 81.0% 55.9% 59.2% 12.6 7.3 2.9
Drew Gooden 44.4% 44.6% 0.0% 72.8% 44.4% 48.7% 16.1 0.1 4.6
Larry Hughes 37.7% 38.9% 34.1% 81.5% 42.2% 46.7% 19.0 5.0 4.3
Zydrunas Ilgauskas 47.4% 47.5% 0.0% 80.2% 47.4% 52.2% 19.0 0.0 5.2
LeBron James 48.4% 53.1% 31.5% 71.2% 51.8% 56.8% 26.0 5.7 12.2
Dwayne Jones 53.2% 54.3% 0.0% 48.3% 53.2% 53.8% 4.8 0.1 5.9
Damon Jones 41.6% 41.4% 41.7% 71.4% 57.4% 58.2% 13.0 9.9 1.0
Donyell Marshall 29.5% 23.8% 34.8% 77.8% 38.6% 42.7% 13.5 7.1 2.8
Ira Newble 44.9% 49.6% 33.3% 76.9% 49.7% 52.2% 11.7 3.3 1.9
Demetris Nichols 12.5% 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 27.4 10.3 0.0
Sasha Pavlovic 36.2% 38.8% 29.8% 68.8% 40.4% 43.4% 16.3 4.6 3.1
Cedric Simmons 33.3% 33.3% 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 21.0% 4.2 0.0 5.6
Joe Smith 51.2% 51.8% 0.0% 65.2% 51.2% 54.7% 14.1 0.2 5.7
Eric Snow 15.8% 16.7% 0.0% 45.5% 15.8% 23.1% 6.0 0.3 3.5
Wally Szczerbiak 35.9% 35.7% 36.5% 87.8% 40.4% 45.1% 18.0 4.5 3.5
Billy Thomas 28.6% 0.0% 30.8% 0.0% 42.9% 42.9% 19.8 18.4 0.0
Anderson Varejao 46.1% 46.4% 0.0% 59.8% 46.1% 48.5% 10.7 0.1 3.0
Ben Wallace 45.7% 45.7% 0.0% 43.2% 45.7% 46.3% 6.7 0.0 3.7
Delonte West 44.0% 47.9% 36.7% 78.8% 50.4% 54.1% 13.4 4.7 3.1
  WP48 WINS PTS DRB ORB TRB AST TO BLK STL PF
CLE 0.040 38.3 96.4 31.3 13.3 44.6 20.0 14.0 5.2 7.1 20.9
AVG 0.500 41.0 99.9 30.8 11.2 42.0 21.8 14.1 4.7 7.3 21.0
OPP 0.960 43.7 96.7 30.5 9.9 40.4 21.0 13.3 4.7 6.8 20.3
AVGOPP 0.500 41.0 99.9 30.8 11.2 42.0 21.8 14.1 4.7 7.3 21.0
  FG% 2FG% 3FG% FT% eFG% TS% FGA 3FGA FTA
CLE 43.9% 46.3% 35.8% 71.7% 48.0% 52.0% 81.7 18.8 25.1
AVG 45.7% 48.4% 36.2% 75.5% 49.7% 54.0% 81.5 18.1 24.9

Wins Produced
Expected* Actual Forecast**
38.3-43.7 45-37 n/a

* The win-loss record that wins produced would have predicted based on players' WP48 so far (ignores previous seasons).

** future games only -- takes current record as given


Articles featuring the Cleveland Cavaliers

I Was Surprised: Anderson Varejao

The mainstream media baffles me. Like, for example, the obsession with triple doubles. Anderson Varajao didn't get one last night, so I guess his performance was only worth a quick mention. I mean, 23 rebounds, 9 assists, 9 points, 2 blocks in 37 minutes...that's not noteworthy or antyhing, right?

The NBA Geek's Amnesty Guesses, Part 1

I'm calling them guesses, not predictions, because this way if I'm completely wrong, I won't look as stupid.

Did David Kahn redeem himself?

The one time of the year when everyone seems to enjoy giving out grades is after the NBA Draft.  More than any other sport, fans seem to place faith (or, in the case of some GMs, at least hope) that the draft can change their team's fortunes.  I suppose this is because is because basketball is played with 5 players, so any player influences (approximately) 20% of your team's production at any given time on the court, while baseball fields 9 (10 if you count the DH) and football 11.  And of course, football and baseball rosters are much bigger, and they draft more players, so a far smaller percentage of drafted players actually make the roster.  In the NBA, in contrast, the 1st round picks have guaranteed contracts, and as the book Stumbling on Wins points out, playing time is highly correlated to draft position and salary.  In other words, once owners and managers shell out a lot of money for a prospect, they are reluctant to give up on that prospect.