| NAME | POS | GP | MIN | WP48 | PoP48 | WINS | PTS | REB | AST | TO | BLK | STL | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Armstrong | C | 18 | 239 | -.065 | -5.1 | -0.33 | 10.2 | 12.3 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 8.8 |
| Devin Brown | SG | 39 | 967 | .019 | -2.5 | 0.38 | 18.8 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| Bobby Brown | PG | 22 | 328 | -.136 | -7.3 | -0.93 | 21.2 | 2.6 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.1 |
| Darren Collison | PG | 76 | 2109 | .093 | -0.2 | 4.09 | 21.5 | 4.4 | 9.8 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Aaron Gray | C | 24 | 261 | .248 | 4.6 | 1.35 | 15.8 | 16.6 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 8.1 |
| Jason Hart | PG | 4 | 17 | .107 | 0.2 | 0.04 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 14.1 | 8.5 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 11.3 |
| Sean Marks | PF | 14 | 75 | .104 | 0.2 | 0.16 | 6.4 | 14.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 10.9 |
| Emeka Okafor | C | 82 | 2370 | .146 | 1.5 | 7.23 | 17.2 | 15.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4.4 |
| Chris Paul | PG | 45 | 1712 | .276 | 5.5 | 9.85 | 23.6 | 5.4 | 13.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Morris Peterson | SF | 46 | 973 | .011 | -2.7 | 0.23 | 16.1 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.0 |
| James Posey | SG | 77 | 1731 | .094 | -0.2 | 3.39 | 11.1 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5.7 |
| Darius Songaila | C | 75 | 1410 | -.094 | -6.0 | -2.76 | 18.5 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 7.0 |
| Peja Stojakovic | SF | 62 | 1947 | .054 | -1.4 | 2.19 | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Marcus Thornton | SG | 73 | 1872 | .091 | -0.2 | 3.57 | 27.1 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| David West | PF | 81 | 2949 | .080 | -0.6 | 4.92 | 25.1 | 9.8 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3.8 |
| Julian Wright | PF | 68 | 871 | .121 | 0.7 | 2.19 | 14.3 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Name | FG% | 2FG% | 3FG% | FT% | eFG% | TS% | FGA | 3FGA | FTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Armstrong | 38.0% | 38.0% | 0.0% | 46.4% | 38.0% | 40.9% | 10.0 | 0.0 | 5.6 |
| Devin Brown | 39.4% | 41.6% | 36.7% | 80.2% | 47.7% | 52.2% | 16.1 | 7.3 | 4.3 |
| Bobby Brown | 39.5% | 50.0% | 25.8% | 100.0% | 45.1% | 46.6% | 22.2 | 9.7 | 1.2 |
| Darren Collison | 47.7% | 49.0% | 40.0% | 85.1% | 50.6% | 54.6% | 18.0 | 2.6 | 4.0 |
| Aaron Gray | 55.7% | 55.7% | 0.0% | 85.7% | 55.7% | 61.2% | 11.2 | 0.0 | 3.9 |
| Jason Hart | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sean Marks | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | 5.1 | 0.0 | 3.2 |
| Emeka Okafor | 53.0% | 53.0% | 0.0% | 56.2% | 53.0% | 54.7% | 13.3 | 0.0 | 5.5 |
| Chris Paul | 49.3% | 51.4% | 40.9% | 84.7% | 53.4% | 58.4% | 17.9 | 3.6 | 5.3 |
| Morris Peterson | 38.5% | 41.5% | 36.3% | 61.1% | 48.8% | 50.3% | 14.8 | 8.4 | 2.7 |
| James Posey | 36.5% | 43.7% | 33.5% | 82.5% | 48.3% | 52.5% | 9.6 | 6.7 | 2.2 |
| Darius Songaila | 49.4% | 49.8% | 16.7% | 81.1% | 49.5% | 52.2% | 16.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| Peja Stojakovic | 40.4% | 43.5% | 37.5% | 89.7% | 50.0% | 53.3% | 17.0 | 8.7 | 2.6 |
| Marcus Thornton | 45.1% | 49.3% | 37.4% | 81.4% | 51.7% | 55.0% | 22.6 | 8.0 | 4.5 |
| David West | 50.5% | 51.0% | 25.9% | 86.5% | 50.8% | 56.0% | 20.0 | 0.4 | 5.6 |
| Julian Wright | 50.0% | 50.4% | 33.3% | 61.0% | 50.4% | 51.8% | 12.8 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| WP48 | WINS | PTS | DRB | ORB | TRB | AST | TO | BLK | STL | PF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOR | 0.000 | 35.6 | 100.2 | 29.9 | 10.4 | 40.3 | 22.3 | 13.5 | 3.7 | 7.6 | 19.6 |
| AVG | 0.500 | 41.0 | 100.4 | 30.8 | 11.0 | 41.7 | 21.2 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 20.9 |
| OPP | 1.000 | 46.4 | 102.7 | 31.5 | 10.6 | 42.1 | 23.5 | 14.4 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 19.5 |
| AVGOPP | 0.500 | 41.0 | 100.4 | 30.8 | 11.0 | 41.7 | 21.2 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 20.9 |
| FG% | 2FG% | 3FG% | FT% | eFG% | TS% | FGA | 3FGA | FTA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOR | 46.4% | 49.5% | 36.3% | 77.8% | 50.6% | 54.3% | 83.4 | 19.2 | 20.3 | ||
| AVG | 46.1% | 49.2% | 35.5% | 75.9% | 50.1% | 54.3% | 81.7 | 18.1 | 24.5 | ||
| Expected* | Actual | Forecast** |
|---|---|---|
| 35.6-46.4 | 37-45 | n/a |
* The win-loss record that wins produced would have predicted based on players' WP48 so far (ignores previous seasons).
** future games only -- takes current record as given
The other day I did the ten worst contracts of the season. It was a fairly big hit, and as usual, not everyone agreed with my picks. I expect more of the same today, as I pick the ten best.
The NBA Season is ready to start on Christmas Day, the last couple of preseason games are being played as I write this up, and it's time for me to cater to every serious NBA fans love of season previews! The 2011 Geektastic Preview is going to be way too large for one article, so I'm dividing it up into divisions (and even so, it's going to be long, so get a cup of coffee!). I'm continuing the preview here with the Southwest Division, from worst to first.
The NBA Season is ready to start on Christmas Day, the last couple of preseason games are being played as I write this up, and it's time for me to cater to every serious NBA fans love of season previews! The 2011 Geektastic Preview is going to be way too large for one article, so I'm dividing it up into divisions (and even so, it's going to be long, so get a cup of coffee!). In this article I'm going to preview the New Orleans Hornets, who are going to be bad, but I guess that is the way David Stern wants it to be.
So I've been working pretty hard lately trying to make updates to my stats, in particular so that my Comparison Engine becomes more useful. I need to incorporate the new Wins Produced model and also add data for past seasons. Once that's done, I'll be using it extensively to prepare my season previews (and make predictions). In the meantime, I probably won't be writing articles as long as my recent post on Eric Gordon, which apparently convinced the Clippers that yes, they should give in to the Hornets demand to include him in a trade.
Yesterday I went on a bit of a rant on the Commissioner's obvious conflict of interest in cancelling the 3-way trade that would have sent Chris Paul to the Lakers, Pau Gasol to the Rockets, and 4 players to the Hornets (Kevin Martin, Lamar Odom, Goran Dragic and Luis Scola).
As with part 1 (which you can read here), I'm calling them guesses, not predictions, because this way if I'm completely wrong, I won't look as stupid. Will I do something as crazy as amnestying Kobe freaking Bryant again today?
